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ASCVD Risk Atlas

Methodology

What this is

The ASCVD Risk Factor Atlas is a de novo, evidence-linked catalog of every risk factor reported in the biomedical literature for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease — coronary heart disease, ischemic stroke, peripheral artery disease, and aortic/large-artery atherosclerosis. It was built ground-up by mining primary sources rather than transcribing an existing guideline list, so it surfaces both established factors and uncommon or emerging ones.

How it was built

  1. Literature harvest6,441 distinct articles from PubMed and OpenAlex across broad, per-category, and study-type queries.
  2. Candidate extraction — named-entity extraction over abstracts surfaced every mentioned risk factor / exposure / biomarker, each linked to its source article.
  3. Trials & genetics5,715 ClinicalTrials.gov studies and 6,227 GWAS Catalog associations (trait- and gene-anchored) were harvested for linking.
  4. Canonicalization — synonyms were merged into 997 distinct canonical factors, each assigned a category, type, direction, and modifiability.
  5. Evidence linking & grading — references, trials, and genetic associations were attached to each factor and combined into an evidence-strength grade and score.

Evidence grading

Each factor receives a grade from its evidence profile:

  • A Strong & causal — multiple meta-analyses, or genetic/Mendelian-randomization support plus trial evidence, with high literature volume.
  • B Moderate — consistent evidence with a meta-analysis or genetic association.
  • C Emerging — several primary studies, limited meta-analytic/causal confirmation.
  • D Preliminary — few reports or single studies.

The score (0–100) weights literature volume, meta-analyses, linked trials, genetic associations, and a Mendelian-randomization bonus. This is a pragmatic ranking to gauge how much evidence a factor carries — not a formal GRADE assessment.

Limitations

  • Extraction is automated; category/direction assignments are best-effort and may contain errors.
  • Trial and gene→factor links are keyword/curation based and can miss or over-include.
  • Reference counts reflect this harvest, not the entire literature — they index attention, not truth.
  • Some bidirectional conditions (e.g. heart failure) appear as factors where the literature reports them as such.

Research and informational use only. Nothing here is medical advice; clinical decisions require a qualified professional with full patient context.