WHO CVD risk charts (2019)
WHO/ISH 2019 revised cardiovascular disease risk charts (21 regions)
#13
coverage rank
Global (21 GBD regions)201910-yearFatal + non-fatal CVD (MI, stroke)8 inputs
Adults 40-74 without CVD
7
atlas factors covered
6
strongly-evidenced (A/B)
6
of 15 categories
Strengths
- Region-specific charts for 21 world regions; laboratory and non-laboratory (BMI-based) versions for low-resource settings
- Globally applicable, endorsed for population-level screening
Weaknesses
- Chart-based with coarse risk categories rather than continuous individualized estimate
- Very small input set; non-lab version drops cholesterol entirely
- No family history, renal, imaging, or inflammatory inputs; limited discrimination
Input variables (8)
| Input | Maps to atlas factor | Category | Grade | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | Age | Demographic & Social | A | |
| Sex | Sex | Demographic & Social | C | |
| Current smoking | Cigarette smoking | Lifestyle & Behavioral | A | |
| Systolic blood pressure | Systolic blood pressure | Blood Pressure & Hemodynamics | A | |
| Diabetes mellitus | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | Glycemic & Metabolic | A | |
| Total cholesterol (laboratory model) | Total cholesterol | Lipids & Lipoproteins | A | |
| BMI (non-laboratory model) | Body mass index | Anthropometric & Body Composition | A | |
| Region calibration | — derived / not in atlas | — | — | population/geography calibration term, not an individual factor |
References
- World Health Organization cardiovascular disease risk charts: revised models to estimate risk in 21 regions — Lancet Glob Health 2019 · PMID 31488387